North Texas Weather Center News

Winter Forecast 2023-2024 - North Texas Could See Some SNOW This Winter!

12/4/2023

Here is our WINTER SNOWFALL FORECAST for North Texas!

An EL NINO winter is right around the corner, which promotes above normal precipitation and below normal temps for Texas!

The last MODERATE-STRONG El Nino that we had was in 2010, where DFW saw 17.8" OF SNOW!

Now, I don't anticipate THAT much snow this winter. In fact, there is definitely a chance that North Texas DOESN'T see much snow. Over the past two decades, Moderate-Strong-Very Strong El Nino years have promoted mostly small amounts of snowfall, aside from 2010 and 2003.

Additionally, this will likely be a "STRONG" El Nino. Out of the FIVE "STRONG" El Nino years that we have had, we've seen an average of 3.1" of snow in those winters. Two of those winters, DFW has less than 1" of snow. Three of those winters ranged from 3-8" (the bulk of the "average" presented above).

More than anything, this is our official prediction for this winter! I will make some minor tweaks to it as we approach December and repost it with those. Either way, I DO think we will see some snow across North Texas, with the HIGHEST probabilities in NW North Texas, and the LOWEST probabilities of snow in Southern North Texas.

*For clarity, <1" does not mean you will see 0.1-1" of snow. That means anywhere from 0-1". And again, this is a prediction, so it might or might not happen. It will be interesting to look back at this and see how wrong or right I am

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Winter Forecast 2023-2024 - North Texas Could See Some SNOW This Winter!

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